AS NOTED HERE BEFORE, the key unknowns are whether discouraged conservatives stay home, whether some usual non-participants get excited enough to vote, and how many votes the Republicans steal.
Sam Smith is a long-time observer of politics and Washington and his election predictions (and I'm now sure he'd appreciate me using that word) have been pretty close to the mark.
If you've been watching the election track feature in the sidebar you've probably noticed it stands 50-50 right now. That reflects combined data from a variety of polls as interpreted by a computer algorithm (click on the graphic for more info). It's been running just a wee bit optimistically for the Ds all along, IMO.
No comments:
Post a Comment