10.29.2024

Pollsters getting their excuses ready

Has there been a shift toward Trump in the final days of the race? Here’s what the polls show.

“If the polls are off this year, chances are they’re going to be off in a similar direction, at least that’s what we saw in 2016 and 2020. Polls really had the same weakness. So we shouldn’t have a false hope that averaging is going to miraculously fix it"…

…“But it’s not the case that like, ‘Oh, we’ve figured out the silver bullet. Everybody’s fixed it, and we’re good to go.’ Instead, you have pollsters trying an array of different fixes, and we’re hopeful that in the aggregate, that will result in greater accuracy.”

Here's an idea: Let's just count the votes and find out.

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